| Table OA4: Ordered Probit Model with Decomposition of Within and Between Effects and Cluster Robust Standarderrors - Kreis-level | ||||||||||
| MOA1.1 | MOA2.1 | MOA3.1 | MOA4.1 | MOA5.1 | ||||||
| Year | ||||||||||
| 1994 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
| 2000 | -0.3585 | *** | -0.3426 | *** | -0.3342 | *** | -0.3720 | *** | -0.3616 | *** |
| 2004 | -0.4438 | *** | -0.4765 | *** | -0.4734 | *** | -0.4658 | *** | -0.4637 | *** |
| 2010 | -0.0393 | 0.0591 | 0.0570 | 0.0595 | 0.0561 | |||||
| Male | -0.1703 | *** | -0.1686 | *** | -0.1684 | *** | -0.1678 | *** | -0.1683 | *** |
| Age | -0.0067 | *** | -0.0067 | *** | -0.0068 | *** | -0.0068 | *** | -0.0068 | *** |
| Married | -0.0008 | 0.0009 | 0.0002 | -0.0012 | -0.0013 | |||||
| Education | ||||||||||
| Low | 0.1038 | ** | 0.1086 | ** | 0.1057 | ** | 0.1101 | ** | 0.1065 | ** |
| Medium | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
| High | -0.2086 | *** | -0.2048 | *** | -0.2057 | *** | -0.2077 | *** | -0.2082 | *** |
| Employment Status | ||||||||||
| Employed | -0.1070 | ** | -0.1068 | ** | -0.1110 | ** | -0.1074 | ** | -0.1113 | ** |
| Unemployed | 0.2918 | *** | 0.2760 | *** | 0.2723 | *** | 0.2747 | *** | 0.2712 | *** |
| Not in labor force | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
| Left-Right | -0.0968 | *** | -0.0965 | *** | -0.0960 | *** | -0.0965 | *** | -0.0963 | *** |
| Equiv. HH-Income (in 1,000€) | -0.1125 | ** | -0.1135 | ** | -0.1149 | ** | -0.1139 | ** | -0.1148 | ** |
| Community Size | ||||||||||
| < 1.999 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | |||||
| 2.000 - 4.999 | 0.0308 | 0.0446 | 0.0582 | 0.0571 | 0.0655 | |||||
| 5.000 - 19.999 | 0.0269 | 0.0588 | 0.0668 | 0.0656 | 0.0709 | |||||
| 20.000 - 49.999 | 0.1276 | 0.1537 | * | 0.1771 | * | 0.1715 | * | 0.1905 | ** | |
| 50.000 - 99.999 | 0.1667 | 0.1700 | 0.1968 | * | 0.1811 | * | 0.1980 | * | ||
| 100.000 - 499.999 | 0.0951 | 0.0656 | 0.1109 | 0.1219 | 0.1442 | |||||
| >= 500.000 | 0.0542 | 0.0203 | 0.0291 | 0.0816 | 0.0659 | |||||
| West Germany | -0.5326 | *** | -0.3658 | *** | -0.3006 | *** | -0.3107 | *** | -0.2682 | ** |
| Share foreigners (between) | -0.0162 | * | -0.0397 | ** | -0.0027 | -0.0305 | ||||
| Share foreigners (within) | -0.0742 | ** | -0.3104 | *** | 0.0236 | -0.0735 | ||||
| Unemployment rate (between) | 0.0159 | * | 0.0154 | * | 0.0247 | * | 0.0212 | |||
| Unemployment rate (within) | 0.0442 | * | 0.0533 | ** | 0.0734 | *** | 0.0925 | *** | ||
| Share foreigners^2 (between) | 0.0010 | 0.0011 | ||||||||
| Share foreigners^2 (within) | 0.0082 | *** | 0.0013 | |||||||
| Foreigners*Unemployment rate (between) | -0.0016 | -0.0008 | ||||||||
| Foreigners*Unemployment rate (within) | -0.0088 | ** | -0.0154 | |||||||
| Foreigners^2*Unempl. rate(between) | 0.0000 | |||||||||
| Foreigners^2*Unempl. rate(within) | 0.0005 | |||||||||
| GDP/C (in 1,000€) (between) | 0.0086 | ** | 0.0075 | * | 0.0078 | * | 0.0071 | * | ||
| GDP/C (in 1,000€) (within) | -0.0066 | 0.0070 | -0.0127 | -0.0008 | ||||||
| Cut1 | -2.8560 | *** | -2.4452 | *** | -2.5098 | *** | -2.3356 | *** | -2.4306 | *** |
| Cut2 | -0.9367 | *** | -0.5169 | ** | -0.5789 | *** | -0.4048 | * | -0.4978 | * |
| Statistics | ||||||||||
| N (Kreise) | 284 | 284 | 284 | 284 | 284 | |||||
| N (Kreis-years) | 546 | 546 | 546 | 546 | 546 | |||||
| N (Individuals) | 7705 | 7705 | 7705 | 7705 | 7705 | |||||
| AIC | 13132.797 | 13091.608 | 13075.082 | 13076.607 | 13069.585 | |||||
| BIC | 13278.739 | 13279.248 | 13276.622 | 13278.146 | 13298.920 | |||||
| Log Likelihood | -6545.398 | -6518.804 | -6508.541 | -6509.304 | -6501.791 | |||||
| Notes: * p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001 (two-sided tests). | ||||||||||
| Source: GGSS (1994, 2000, 2004, 2010), Statistic Departments of the Federation and the Federal States (2013a). | ||||||||||
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